War on the Rocks
CTR30 current headlines from War on the Rocks.
Forced Into the Right Decision? A Look at U.S. Land-Based Deterrence Posture
In 2019, Steve Fetter wrote “A Cheaper Nuclear Sponge,” in which he argued that building a new intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) was unnecessary for strengthening U.S. land-based deterrence. A…
11h ago
The Tyranny of Shipyard Cost-Plus Contracting
As a naval shipyard commander, my mandate from Navy leadership is straightforward: return warships to the fleet as quickly as possible. Neither my shipyard nor many other public and private shipyards…
21h ago
The Strange Transformation of the Front Line in Ukraine
On Jan. 5, 2025, my volunteer platoon attached to the 23rd Special Purpose Battalion of the Presidential Brigade entered a 1-kilometer-long tree line called CHAI, on the outskirts of Kotlyne, a few ki…
21h ago
The Mecca Pact’s Credibility Gap
Collective-defense pacts are meant to make war less likely. Poorly designed ones can do the opposite. If allies make sweeping promises without the military integration, decision-making mechanisms, and…
22h ago
The Two Questions Ukraine Asks Before Every Decision
Welcome to The Ukraine Compass, a weekly digest of Ukrainian commentary and analysis from across the political spectrum, only for War on the Rocks members. Each Monday, we bring you a curated selectio…
1d ago
China’s Warrior Scientists: Insights from Recent Operations Around Taiwan
China’s marine scientific research ships are expanding their operations around Taiwan, and they are not just there to advance the frontiers of human knowledge. Their operations serve to undermine Taiw…
1d ago
Nicaragua’s Army Will Decide What Comes After Ortega
The first institution Nicaragua’s National Assembly called to testify on the constitutional reform ending competitive elections was the army. On July 29, 2026, Gen. Julio César Avilés appeared before…
1d ago
The Strategic Fiber of America: Kevlar’s Impact on Warfighters
Editor’s note: This is the tenth article in a limited series celebrating American defense technologies born from wartime and their effects on broader national security, politics, and society. This ser…
2d ago
Shrinking Buffers: Why Turkey and Israel Are on a Collision Course
When Israeli warplanes struck the Abu al-Duhur airbase in Syria on Aug. 18, 2026, the smoke rose over the demolition of an old geopolitical assumption about the Middle East. This time, Israel directly…
2d ago
New Complications in Countering the Flow of Arms in the Caribbean
Arms trafficking in the Caribbean has soared in recent years, with many states now ranking firearms trafficking as the number one public safety and security threat. As new methods of arming individual…
2d ago
The Fruit of Patience: How Regional Shifts Ripened Turkey’s Path to Kurdish Reconciliation
On Aug. 25, at the People’s Palace in Damascus, Mazloum Abdi announced the dissolution of the Syrian Democratic Forces, which he had commanded for a decade. Speaking first in Arabic and then in Kurdis…
5d ago
The Future of Combat Medicine
War has always been a brutal engine of medical innovation, running on a feedback loop: Civilian breakthroughs are adapted for the battlefield, while battlefield necessity pushes advances back into civ…
6d ago
Where Does AI Escalation Come From? We Don’t Know. We Should Find Out.
We played a wargame using AI players. Two nuclear-armed nations — Red and Blue — with a long-standing, fierce border dispute were placed into a militarized crisis. Over the course of several turns, th…
6d ago
Russia’s Road to El Dorado
As a new convoy of Russian armored vehicles arrives from the port of Lomé to support Russia’s Africa Corps deployment in Mali, that mission has entered its fifth year. Russia’s investment of blood and…
6d ago
Is Taiwanese Society Prepared for a China Contingency?
In 2025, Michael Hunzeker and Yuster Yu wrote, “Taiwan’s Biggest Problem in Steeling Itself for War With China is Cultural,” where they argued major cultural changes were needed in both Taiwan’s milit…
Sep 2
European Resilience in Digital Infrastructure: The Changing Nature of State-Business Relations
As the war in Ukraine progressed, Russian strikes increasingly degraded Ukraine’s terrestrial communications infrastructure, steadily deepening Kyiv’s dependence on SpaceX’s Starlink. The satellite co…
Sep 2
Ukraine’s Ground Robots and the Economics of Survival
In August 2024, special forces from five Ukrainian military intelligence units crossed the Black Sea to raid Russian-held Kinburn Spit. The commandos of these units — Chimera, Aratta, Stuhna, Paragon,…
Sep 2
Why Are People Talking About a German Reset with Russia?
The summer of 2026 has raised questions once again among politicians, diplomats, and academics about whether Germany might be about to dither on Russia. Last month, a drone attack on German soil seeme…
Sep 2
The Atlantic Brief: U.S. and European Perspectives on Nuclear Deterrence
Date: Wednesday, Sept. 23, 2026Time: 12:00-1:00 PM ETThe second joint webinar by RUSI and War on the Rocks: Two leading defense publications from both sides of the Atlantic present their expert panel.…
Sep 1
A Rulebook for Surprises: Commanding Autonomous Aircraft
My greatest challenge while flight testing collaborative combat aircraft was not troubleshooting errors at high speed in the cockpit. It was when, in a single keystroke, my job shifted from pilot to s…
Sep 1
The Educated Operator: Rethinking Lethality in Special Operations
Editor’s Note: While War on the Rocks has a high standard for allowing pseudonyms, this is an unusual case: U.S. Army Special Operations Command requires its uniformed personnel to use pseudonyms when…
Sep 1
The Political Constraint on America’s Data-Center Power Buildout
In April, President Donald Trump issued two Defense Production Act determinations covering grid infrastructure and large-scale energy infrastructure. One found that the country’s constrained electric…
Sep 1
The Divine Calculus of the Ukraine War’s End
Welcome to The Ukraine Compass, a weekly digest of Ukrainian commentary and analysis from across the political spectrum, only for War on the Rocks members. Each Monday, we bring you a curated selectio…
Aug 31
The Quantum Stack and the Countdown to Q-Day
Quantum’s hype obscures a reality with real geopolitical stakes: the technology works and is advancing every day. Cameron Chehreh (IonQ), JD Dulny (Booz Allen), and Ben Gianni (GDIT) join Jonathan to…
Aug 31
Stop Using AI. Start Commanding It
Walk into the Pentagon, climb the escalator, and an Uncle Sam-style poster points at you: “I want YOU to use AI.” It worked. GenAI.mil hit 1.5 million users in six months, and I have heard enough Open…
Aug 31
The (Un)importance of the Battle of Tours
Editor’s note: This is the first article in a new occasional series featuring battles that just didn’t matter, may look important, but in fact had negligible strategic or political effects or were abs…
Aug 28
Beneath the Surface: Overlooked Cyber Security Threats
Cyber security remains a persistent concern for public and private sector organizations alike. Given the potential impact of cyber threats from criminal groups, adversarial states, and extremists, the…
Aug 27
The Goldilocks Fallacy: The Undefined Limits of Korea’s Nuclear Role
“Unthreatening and respectful.” That is how the president of the United States described North Korea on Aug. 16, 2026, in his social media post ordering his secretary of defense to scale back joint ex…
Aug 27
“Zero Problems” Abroad, Plenty at Home: Reassessing al Sharaa’s Leadership in Syria
In 2025, Rob Geist Pinfold wrote, “The March Massacres Show That Syria Urgently Needs Solutions, Not Sanctions,” in which he argued that sanctions relief was a major way the West could positively enga…
Aug 26
The Marine Corps’ Plan for the Future of Ground Combat
The Marine Corps just released its plan to fight against adversaries on land, and Ryan had the two architects of the plan, Ground Combat Element 2040, on the show to talk about it. They discuss drones…
Aug 26